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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

Sep 27, 2011 5:15 p.m.

000

ABNT20 KNHC 271754

TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

200 PM EDT TUE SEP 27 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL

STORM PHILIPPE...LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE

ISLANDS.

AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY

INVESTIGATING THE REMNANTS OF OPHELIA LOCATED A SHORT DISTANCE

EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. IF THE AIRCRAFT

FINDS A WELL-DEFINED CENTER OF CIRCULATION...ADVISORIES WILL BE

RE-INITIATED ON THIS SYSTEM LATER THIS AFTERNOON. THIS DISTURBANCE

IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...AND

UPPER-LEVEL WINDS APPEAR SOMEWHAT CONDUCIVE FOR ADDITIONAL

REDEVELOPMENT AS THE LOW MOVES SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO

NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH

CHANCE...90 PERCENT...OF REGENERATING INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE

DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE POSSIBLE OVER

PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE

NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER PASCH

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